Ask Uncle Colin: A Polling Percentage

Dear Uncle Colin

I have a percentages problem: I’m told that in an election, 95.74% of the electorate voted for the winning side. What is the minimum possible size of the electorate?

– Percentages Often Lack Logic

Hi, POLL, and thank you for your message!

There are two possible answers to this, depending on whether the reported percentage is exact, or if it has been rounded.

It’s exact!

If it’s exact, there’s no real difficulty: 95.74% = $\frac{9574}{10000}$, which simplifies to $\frac{4787}{5000}$ – and a minimum electorate of 5000 people.

That’s fine, but it’s a bit dull, don’t you think? How about if we just know that between 95.735% and 95.745% of the population voted for the winners?

It’s rounded!

My approach here was to think about the losing side, who got 4.26% of the vote (to two decimal places). What fractions round to 0.0426?

One way to approach this is to look at the reciprocal, which is $\frac{1}{0.0426}\approx 23.474$ – which looks fairly close to 23.5, or $\frac{47}{2}$. In fact, $\frac{2}{47}\approx 0.0426$, and $\frac{45}{47}\approx 95.74$%, correct to two decimal places.

I’m on the fence about whether this is a good question – it should certainly be stated more clearly. Unless you’re studying continued fractions, it does depend on spotting the fraction, which can look a bit like magic.

Hope that helps!

– Uncle Colin

Colin

Colin is a Weymouth maths tutor, author of several Maths For Dummies books and A-level maths guides. He started Flying Colours Maths in 2008. He lives with an espresso pot and nothing to prove.

Share

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Sign up for the Sum Comfort newsletter and get a free e-book of mathematical quotations.

No spam ever, obviously.

Where do you teach?

I teach in my home in Abbotsbury Road, Weymouth.

It's a 15-minute walk from Weymouth station, and it's on bus routes 3, 8 and X53. On-road parking is available nearby.

On twitter